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Graded
Todd Tichenor squeezes the zone; Casey Mize's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30.
Grant Holmes's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30; ATL travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.
ATH travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.
Trevor Rogers's last three ERA 6.10 vs season 4.30.
Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.
Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.
Bubba Chandler's last three ERA 6.00 vs season 4.30; SF travel-fatigue 16 · road · played yesterday.
Griffin Jax's last three ERA 5.50 vs season 4.30.
League Average runs a wide zone; TOR travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.
Shane Livensparger squeezes the zone; Drew Anderson's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30.
League Average runs a wide zone; Eury Pérez's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30.
David Peterson's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30.
Hayden Wesneski's last three ERA 5.90 vs season 4.30.
Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto's last three ERA 5.80 vs season 4.30.
Official 80%
Graded
- CWS @ HOUPushBet Under 8 · 80.4% · fair -410 · final 2–6Lock -115 · close -115 · final 2–6 · 0.5u
Bet Under 8. Engine 80% of worlds stay under the posted total.
Mean 7.1 vs 8Home 61.0%84° · 7 mphChris ConroySean Burke / Hunter Brownhash e8f0a21b93c2Sep 3, 7:10 PM EDT · locked Sep 3, 7:10 PM EDT - SF @ PITWrongBet Under 12.5 · 82.7% · fair -478 · final 12–13No posted book (alternate) · fair -478 · 0.5u · final 12–13
Bet Under 12.5. 83% of simulated games hit it (mean total 8.4 vs posted 9.5). Ask the book for this alternate.
Mean 8.4 vs 9.5Home 54.9%88° · 10 mphTodd TichenorLogan Webb / Paul Skeneshash a1c3e5f70912Sep 1, 5:40 PM EDT · locked Sep 1, 5:40 PM EDT - NYM @ TBCorrectBet TB +1.5 · 80.5% · fair -413 · final 3–2No posted book (alternate) · fair -413 · 0.5u · final 3–2
Engine 81% cover.
Mean 8.7 vs 8.5Home 72.9%72° · 0 mphShane LivenspargerRobert Stock / Ian Seymourhash 816d9d55c366Aug 31, 5:40 PM EDT · locked Aug 31, 5:40 PM EDT - COL @ ATLCorrectBet ATL +1.5 · 82.0% · fair -456 · final 2–3No posted book (alternate) · fair -456 · 0.5u · final 2–3
Engine 82% cover.
Mean 8.8 vs 9Home 78.0%86° · 6 mphTodd TichenorMason Adams / Tyler Mahlehash dfb0bcd9dfabAug 30, 12:35 PM EDT · locked Aug 30, 12:35 PM EDT - COL @ ATLCorrectBet ATL +1.5 · 80.4% · fair -411 · final 1–2No posted book (alternate) · fair -411 · 0.5u · final 1–2
Engine 80% cover.
Mean 8.8 vs 9Home 72.8%85° · 6 mphChris ConroyZach Agnos / Martín Pérezhash e7bba5cdf591Aug 29, 3:10 PM EDT · locked Aug 29, 3:10 PM EDT - PHI @ LAACorrectBet Under 12.5 · 81.2% · fair -432 · final 5–3No posted book (alternate) · fair -432 · 0.5u · final 5–3
Bet Under 12.5. 81% of simulated games hit it (mean total 8.7 vs posted 9.5). Ask the book for this alternate.
Mean 8.7 vs 9.5Home 51.5%89° · 5 mphShane LivenspargerAndrew Painter / Reid Detmershash b2d4f6180a23Aug 28, 9:38 PM EDT · locked Aug 28, 8:38 PM EDT - COL @ ATLCorrectBet ATL +1.5 · 81.8% · fair -450 · final 4–6No posted book (alternate) · fair -450 · 0.5u · final 4–6
Engine 82% cover.
Mean 8.8 vs 9Home 74.7%84° · 5 mphAndy FletcherTomoyuki Sugano / Grant Holmeshash d7a995f74843Aug 28, 6:15 PM EDT · locked Aug 28, 6:15 PM EDT - CIN @ SFWrongBet CIN +1.5 · 80.6% · fair -416 · final 0–5Lock -257 · close -257 · final 0–5 · 0.5u
Bet CIN +1.5. Engine 81% cover.
Mean 10.0 vs 7.5Home 30.5%62° · 15 mphChris ConroyChase Burns / Carson Whisenhunthash c3e5a7291b34Aug 24, 9:45 PM EDT · locked Aug 24, 8:45 PM EDT - HOU @ BALCorrectBet Under 11.5 · 81.1% · fair -429 · final 0–2Lock -110 · close -110 · final 0–2 · 0.5u
Bet Under 11.5. Engine 81% of worlds stay under the posted total.
Mean 8.9 vs 11.5Home 48.0%78° · 6 mphLeague AverageTBD / TBDhash d4f6b83a2c45Aug 22, 7:05 PM EDT · locked Aug 22, 6:05 PM EDT - WSH @ NYYCorrectBet Under 11.5 · 80.4% · fair -408 · final 1–4Lock -115 · close -115 · final 1–4 · 0.5u
Bet Under 11.5. Engine 80% of worlds stay under the posted total.
Mean 8.8 vs 11.5Home 62.0%81° · 8 mphLeague AverageTBD / TBDhash e5a7c94b3d56Aug 22, 3:05 PM EDT · locked Aug 22, 2:05 PM EDT - CHC @ LAACorrectBet Under 11.5 · 81.8% · fair -449 · final 4–2Lock -110 · close -110 · final 4–2 · 0.5u
Bet Under 11.5. Engine 82% of worlds stay under the posted total.
Mean 8.6 vs 11.5Home 47.0%84° · 4 mphLeague AverageTBD / TBDhash f6b8d05c4e67Aug 21, 9:38 PM EDT · locked Aug 21, 8:38 PM EDT - LAA @ TEXCorrectBet Under 11.5 · 80.8% · fair -421 · final 1–2No posted book (alternate) · fair -421 · 0.5u · final 1–2
Bet Under 11.5. 81% of simulated games hit it (mean total 8.1 vs posted 8.5). Ask the book for this alternate.
Mean 8.1 vs 8.5Home 48.8%74° · 0 mphAndy FletcherReid Detmers / MacKenzie Gorehash a7c9e16d5f78Aug 21, 8:15 PM EDT · locked Aug 21, 7:15 PM EDT - SF @ BOSCorrectBet Under 11.5 · 80.6% · fair -415 · final 4–6No posted book (alternate) · fair -415 · 0.5u · final 4–6
Bet Under 11.5. 81% of simulated games hit it (mean total 8.0 vs posted 8). Ask the book for this alternate.
Mean 8.0 vs 8Home 52.4%69° · 5 mphJohn LibkaLogan Webb / Sonny Grayhash c9ebd38f7190Aug 21, 7:10 PM EDT · locked Aug 21, 6:10 PM EDT - NYY @ CWSWrongBet CWS · 83.2% · fair -495 · final 12–8Lock +135 · close +135 · final 12–8 · 0.5u
Bet CWS moneyline. Engine 83% of worlds — over the 80% floor.
Mean 9.4 vs 9Home 83.2%77° · 7 mphLeague AverageTBD / TBDhash dacfe49082a1Aug 21, 7:10 PM EDT · locked Aug 21, 6:10 PM EDT - TB @ BOSWrongBet BOS · 80.8% · fair -421 · final 4–3Lock -110 · close -110 · final 4–3 · 0.5u
Bet BOS moneyline. Engine 81% of worlds — over the 80% floor.
Mean 9.1 vs 8.5Home 80.8%70° · 9 mphLeague AverageTBD / TBDhash b8dac27e6089Aug 21, 7:10 PM EDT · locked Aug 21, 6:10 PM EDT
How the desk works
Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch (or at first pitch) and must be ≥80%. 65% desk plays are a real book with units — they never move the official win–loss record.