The live desk

We only tell you to bet at 80%.

Posted moneyline, posted total, or run line. Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch, or at first pitch, and only at 80%+. Sitting is the product. Signup is free. The desk opens after Stripe or a grant to that email.

Official
10–4
15 locked 80% tickets
Sit
210
games under the 80% floor
Tickets
15
all-time 80% desk
This slate
Tue Sep 1
15 games · sit
2026 MLB · all-time
Official 80%: 104 · 15 tickets · 210 sit
Desk 65%+: 11749 · +5.35u · avg -222 · not official
Slate 2026-09-01Board Sep 4, 11:06 AM EDT80% desk. Ledger cannot be edited.

Bet this

No official 80% ticket on this slate. The desk sat.

Unlock the desk

Signup is free. The desk opens after Stripe confirms, or when Jay grants that email. Official 80% tickets, the sit count, the W–L, and the CSV stay public.

Signup is free. Desk Pass unlocks only after Stripe confirms plan=desk for that email, or when Jay grants the desk to it — creating an account does not.

Graded

FinalGreat American Ball Park
SD73–66
Randy Vásquez
3
51.0%
CIN66–73
Nick Lodolo
4
49.0%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
92°
5 mph x

Randy Vásquez's last three ERA 6.00 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalPNC Park
SF57–82
Logan Webb
12
37.6%
PIT68–71
Paul Skenes
13
62.4%
True total
8.4
line 8.5
Weather
84°
10 mph x

League Average runs a wide zone; Logan Webb's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalTropicana Field
NYM62–77
Sean Manaea
2
29.0%
TB83–55
Freddy Peralta
6
71.0%
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Sean Manaea's last three ERA 5.50 vs season 4.30; NYM travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalProgressive Field
TOR68–71
Spencer Miles
1
44.2%
CLE70–68
Gavin Williams
6
55.8%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
86°
9 mph x

Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalFenway Park
SEA65–74
Bryan Woo
9
36.3%
BOS75–64
Jedixson Paez
6
63.7%
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
66°
4 mph x

Bryan Woo's last three ERA 6.00 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalNationals Park
ATL82–57
AJ Smith-Shawver
5
55.0%
WSH67–74
Jake Irvin
9
45.0%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
95°
7 mph x

AJ Smith-Shawver's last three ERA 5.80 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalTarget Field
DET63–75
Troy Melton
2
42.0%
MIN67–72
Andrew Morris
15
58.0%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
85°
3 mph x

DET travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalKauffman Stadium
MIA70–69
Tyler Phillips
6
52.3%
KC62–77
Randy Dobnak
3
47.7%
True total
9.1
line 9
Weather
97°
7 mph x

John Libka squeezes the zone; Tyler Phillips's last three ERA 6.20 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalWrigley Field
MIL86–53
Robert Gasser
9
47.8%
CHC78–61
Matthew Boyd
4
52.2%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
91°
7 mph x

Robert Gasser's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30; MIL travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalGlobe Life Field
ATH53–86
Brady Basso
5
34.5%
TEX69–70
MacKenzie Gore
8
65.5%
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
74°
0 mph x

Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalDaikin Park
CWS73–65
Sean Burke
5
51.0%
HOU70–69
Ronel Blanco
1
49.0%
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
73°
0 mph x

Ronel Blanco's last three ERA 5.80 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalCoors Field
BAL69–70
Kyle Bradish
2
54.5%
COL53–86
Gabriel Hughes
4
45.5%
True total
8.4
line 8.5
Weather
84°
4 mph x

League Average runs a wide zone; Kyle Bradish's last three ERA 6.10 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalAngel Stadium
NYY79–60
Gerrit Cole
7
62.7%
LAA53–86
Grayson Rodriguez
3
37.3%
True total
8.4
line 8.5
Weather
78°
6 mph x

League Average runs a wide zone; NYY travel-fatigue 16 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalChase Field
PHI79–60
Jesús Luzardo
7
48.2%
AZ73–67
Eduardo Rodriguez
1
51.8%
True total
8.8
line 9
Weather
76°
0 mph x

Jesús Luzardo's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
FinalUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
STL69–70
Michael McGreevy
13
34.7%
LAD82–56
Eric Lauer
8
65.3%
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
73°
9 mph x

Michael McGreevy's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30; STL travel-fatigue 12 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.

Official 80%

Graded

How the desk works

Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch (or at first pitch) and must be ≥80%. 65% desk plays are a real book with units — they never move the official win–loss record.

80% floor
Official tickets only when the engine is at 80% or higher.
Lock
One hour before first pitch, or at first pitch. Never edited after.
Sit
Sitting is the product. A priced market is not a missing pick.
65% book
Leans are a separate book. Hits and misses never enter the official W–L.
Public ledger
Every official ticket, miss included, stays on the board.
CSV
Download the historical 80% ledger. Hash is written at lock.