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The live desk

We only tell you to bet at 80%.

Posted moneyline, posted total, or run line. Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch, or at first pitch, and only at 80%+. Sitting is the product. Signup is free. The desk opens after Stripe or a grant to that email.

Official
10–4
15 locked 80% tickets
Sit
210
games under the 80% floor
Tickets
15
all-time 80% desk
This slate
Fri Sep 4
16 games · sit
2026 MLB · all-time
Official 80%: 10–4 · 15 tickets · 210 sit
Desk 65%+: 117–49 · +5.35u · avg -222 · not official
Slate 2026-09-04Board Sep 4, 10:53 AM EDT80% desk. Ledger cannot be edited.
TodaysatYesterday1Wed, Sep 2satTue, Sep 11Mon, Aug 311Sun, Aug 301Sat, Aug 291Fri, Aug 282Thu, Aug 27satWed, Aug 26satTue, Aug 25satMon, Aug 241Sun, Aug 23satSat, Aug 222

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No official 80% ticket on this slate. The desk sat.

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First pitchFri, 2:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 1:10 PM EDT
DET64–75
Keider Montero
43.0%
—
CLE70–70
Logan Allen
57.0%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Logan Allen's last three ERA 6.20 vs season 4.30; DET travel-fatigue 12 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 6:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 5:10 PM EDT
MIL87–54
Shane Drohan
60.8%
—
CIN67–73
Rhett Lowder
39.2%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Rhett Lowder's last three ERA 6.10 vs season 4.30; MIL travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 6:40 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 5:40 PM EDT
ATL83–57
Chris Sale
51.4%
—
PHI79–61
Cristopher Sánchez
48.6%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Cristopher Sánchez's last three ERA 6.20 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 6:45 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 5:45 PM EDT
LAA53–87
Ryan Johnson
34.9%
—
PIT69–72
Jared Jones
65.1%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Ryan Johnson's last three ERA 6.20 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 7:05 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 6:05 PM EDT
BOS76–65
Ranger Suarez
51.0%
—
BAL69–72
Shane Baz
49.0%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Ranger Suarez's last three ERA 5.80 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 7:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 6:10 PM EDT
SF58–83
Matt Wilkinson
42.1%
—
NYM63–77
Nolan McLean
57.9%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 7:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 6:10 PM EDT
CHC79–62
Shota Imanaga
51.7%
—
MIA71–70
Janson Junk
48.3%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Shota Imanaga's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 7:15 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 6:15 PM EDT
DET64–75
Andrew Sears
40.5%
—
CLE70–70
Foster Griffin
59.5%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

DET travel-fatigue 14 · road · played yesterday.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 7:40 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 6:40 PM EDT
MIN67–73
Zebby Matthews
41.7%
—
CWS73–67
Erick Fedde
58.3%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 8:05 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 7:05 PM EDT
TB83–57
Nick Martinez
55.6%
—
TEX70–71
Trevor Williams
44.4%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Nick Martinez's last three ERA 6.00 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 8:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 7:10 PM EDT
AZ74–67
Merrill Kelly
49.9%
—
HOU72–69
Cristian Javier
50.1%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Cristian Javier's last three ERA 5.90 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 8:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 7:10 PM EDT
TOR70–71
Jameson Taillon
48.5%
—
KC63–78
Daniel Lynch IV
51.5%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Jameson Taillon's last three ERA 5.70 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 8:40 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 7:40 PM EDT
STL70–71
Andre Pallante
57.1%
—
COL54–86
Ryan Feltner
42.9%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Average zone and a quiet wind — matchup and times-through decide it.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 9:40 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 8:40 PM EDT
NYY80–60
Max Fried
53.0%
—
SD73–67
Walker Buehler
47.0%
—
True total
8.4
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

League Average runs a wide zone; Walker Buehler's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 10:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 9:10 PM EDT
WSH67–75
Jackson Kent
34.4%
—
LAD83–57
Blake Snell
65.6%
—
True total
9.0
line 9
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Shane Livensparger squeezes the zone.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.
First pitchFri, 10:10 PM EDTlock Sep 4, 9:10 PM EDT
ATH55–86
Kade Morris
38.2%
—
SEA66–75
Logan Gilbert
61.8%
—
True total
8.7
line 8.5
Weather
72°
0 mph x

Kade Morris's last three ERA 5.60 vs season 4.30.

The desk sat · Don't bet
No official 80% ticket. The desk sat.

Official 80%

Graded

How the desk works

Official tickets lock one hour before first pitch (or at first pitch) and must be ≥80%. 65% desk plays are a real book with units — they never move the official win–loss record.

80% floor
Official tickets only when the engine is at 80% or higher.
Lock
One hour before first pitch, or at first pitch. Never edited after.
Sit
Sitting is the product. A priced market is not a missing pick.
65% book
Leans are a separate book. Hits and misses never enter the official W–L.
Public ledger
Every official ticket, miss included, stays on the board.
CSV
Download the historical 80% ledger. Hash is written at lock.